Those of you who read my book or this blog
will know that I don’t do exposé; I am all about the science not the gossip.
Anyway even if I wanted to I’m no journalist and have no inside information.
Still I thought it worth responding to some of the more uninformed outrage at
certain events at the Olympics regarding the recent performances of Ye Shiwen1
A young athlete with unusually outsized body
features wins a gold medal and world record by a wide margin. This statement
could be as true of Ian Thorpe1 in 1999 as Ye Shiwen1 in
2012. In fact Ye Shiwen1 has even been called the teenage torpedo,
echoing Thorpe’s1 nickname of the Thorpedo. The statement could also
be true of Usain Bolt’s1 unusual physical attributes (his heightand
stride), although his really extraordinary times came a little later in life. A
policy of keeping quiet in the absence of evidence would seem to be fair to all
athletes from whatever country they originate.
China has a lot of people. It also has a lot
of money, with the second largest GDP in the world. It has a regime that aims
to closely control its population and views success at the Olympics as
important for its international prestige. Frankly it would be astonishing if
China didn’t dominate the medal table at the Olympics. I personally doubt they
have yet got anywhere near sorting out a method to select really efficiently
from this large gene pool; there may be more extraordinary athletes to come.
Be that as it may could swimmers go faster
if they doped? Swimming is a strange sport for sports scientists used to treadmills
and exercise bikes. The absence of artificial flumes in most laboratories, and
the difficulty of monitoring athletes in the water, mean there is a much
smaller research literature in swimming than in cycling or running. But it
seems clear that for nearly all Olympic distances a combination of power and
endurance is required. The East Germans showed that female swimmers, at least,
benefitted from anabolic steroids. Athletes from other countries have tried EPO
and other blood oxygen boosters. There is no reason to think these would not
have some effect on enhancing performance. It is not the science we are
debating here, but the ethics of “outing” people in the absence of evidence. I
agree with Arne Lundqvist, chairman of the IOC’s medical commission in his
statements that echo Wittgenstein’s famous phrase “Whereof one cannot speak,
thereof one must be silent”.
The athletes caught at the Olympics will be
the subset of cheats who are not very good at hiding their handiwork. As stated
by many people, surprise out-of-competition testing, currently monitored by
individual countries, is the key to catching the clever cheats wherever their
country of origin.
As for swimming itself, it seems that it may
need to introduce an athlete biological passport, as much to protect the
innocent as catch the guilty. However, there may be ethical problems given how
young people are when they hit their peak. The passport needs time to work.
Taking blood samples from all prospective 13-year old superstars may be
problematic.
1 Please note that the mention of any athlete
by name should not be taken to imply that I have any reason, or even suspicion,
that they have ever been engaged in doping with performance enhancing drugs.